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Perilima vs Picuiense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Sun, Sep 24, 2023
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perilima host Picuiense in the Paraibano 2 2023. This has Picuiense written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Perilima at 0.8 goals for, 2.17 against; Picuiense at 0.85 for, 2.3 against. Past meetings favor Picuiense slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.05) point toward Picuiense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Perilima
15%
Draws
85%
Picuiense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Picuiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Perilima haven't matched Picuiense's recent run of results.
  • Picuiense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Perilima Clean Sheet 20%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perilima Picuiense
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 3 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Paraibano 2
Perilima vs Picuiense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perilima 24 / 100
Picuiense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perilima Picuiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picuiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Picuiense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Picuiense let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Perilima scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Picuiense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perilima

(Home)
01 Oct
Sabugy
3 : 0
Perilima
28 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Spartax
24 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Picuiense
21 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 0
Perilima
17 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

Picuiense

(Away)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)