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Perilima vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Mon, Sep 11, 2023
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perilima host Pombal in the Paraibano 2 2023. Pombal go into this one as the clear favorite. Perilima have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Pombal's 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Pombal slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.93, favoring Pombal. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Perilima
15%
Draws
85%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pombal lately — more wins on the board than Perilima.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pombal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Perilima Clean Sheet 20%
Pombal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perilima Pombal
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2023 Paraibano 2
Perilima vs Pombal
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perilima 10 / 100
Pombal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perilima Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pombal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Perilima found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Pombal registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pombal
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perilima

(Home)
01 Oct
Sabugy
3 : 0
Perilima
28 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Spartax
24 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Picuiense
21 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 0
Perilima
17 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)