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Perly-Certoux vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Swiss Cup 2005/2006 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Perly-Certoux
20%
Draws
36%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perly-Certoux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Perly-Certoux haven't matched Thun's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Thun arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Perly-Certoux Clean Sheet 20%
Thun Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perly-Certoux Thun
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.2 2.14
Goals Conceded 3.7 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2005 Swiss Cup
Perly-Certoux vs Thun
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perly-Certoux 36 / 100
Thun 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perly-Certoux Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perly-Certoux found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (10 games).

Thun has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Perly-Certoux went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thun
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Perly-Certoux

(Home)
17 Aug
Perly-Certoux
0 : 5
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Aug
Perly-Certoux
2 : 4
Schaffhausen
15 Aug
Perly-Certoux
2 : 3
La Sarraz-Eclepens
04 Aug
Alle
1 : 3
Perly-Certoux
28 Jul
Perly-Certoux
8 : 2
Estavayer-Le-Lac
Page 1 of 2

Thun

(Away)
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2
Lech Poznan
20 Aug
Lech Poznan
7 : 0
Thun
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Young Boys 2
Kriens 1
Wil 1
Lugano 2
Aarau 1
Schaffhausen 0
Basel 3
Zurich 4
Winterthur 2
Luzern 0
Thun 1
Servette 2
Locarno 2
Kussnacht 1
Bellinzona 0
Sion 1
Quarter-finals
Young Boys 2
Lugano 1
Aarau 1
Zurich 2
Winterthur 3
Servette 1
Locarno 0
Sion 1
Semi-finals
Young Boys 4
Zurich 1
Winterthur 0
Sion 1
Final
Young Boys 1
Sion 2