Sport Picks
Pernik vs Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
22'
22'
Georgiev P.
83'
83'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Chernomorets Balchik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
30%
61%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Chernomorets Balchik carry the better recent record into this one.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets Balchik taking it.
- Chernomorets Balchik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Chernomorets Balchik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Pernik Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pernik | Chernomorets Balchik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 24 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Pernik vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pernik Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Chernomorets Balchik Compare
Top Goalscorer Georgiev P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pernik 10 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pernik Chernomorets Balchik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pernik scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Chernomorets Balchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Pernik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chernomorets Balchik
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pernik
(Home) 12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8 Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
19 May
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1 Pernik
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8 Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
05 May
Pernik
0 : 3 Marek
Page 1 of 4
Chernomorets Balchik
(Away) 29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Aksakovo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
16 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
13 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
02 May
Cherno More II
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Balkan Botevgrad 2
Montana 1
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Chernolomets 0
Dobrudzha 1
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Spartak Plovdiv 0
Maritsa Plovdiv 5
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Rozova Dolina 0
Bdin Vidin 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Gorna 1
Svoge 2
TBD -
Hebar -
Kyustendil 1
Dunav Ruse 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Vihren 4
Marek 3
TBD -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Nesebar 2
Septemvri Sofia 4
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
OFC Haskovo 0
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Pernik 0
Chernomorets Balchik 1
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Septemvri Tervel 1
Belasitsa Petrich 0
TBD -
Arda -
Svetkavitsa 1
FC Lovech 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Sevlievo 1
Chernomorets 1919 3
TBD -
Etar -
Lozen Suhindol 0
Strumska Slava 5
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Septemvri Glozhene 0
Spartak Pleven 3
TBD -
TBD -
Fratria 1
Spartak Varna 3
TBD -
Krumovgrad -
1/16-finals
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Ludogorets 4
Dobrudzha 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Maritsa Plovdiv 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
Bdin Vidin 1
Beroe 2
Svoge 0
Hebar 1
Dunav Ruse 1
Levski Sofia 3
Vihren 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
Septemvri Sofia 5
Botev Vratsa 6
Yantra Gabrovo 1
Slavia Sofia 4
Chernomorets Balchik 0
CSKA Sofia 3
Septemvri Tervel 0
Arda 4
FC Lovech 1
Cherno More 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
Etar 3
Strumska Slava 0
Botev Plovdiv 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Lok. Sofia 1
Spartak Varna 1
Krumovgrad 0
1/8-finals
Ludogorets 4
Lok. Plovdiv 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
Beroe 1
Hebar 2
Levski Sofia 1
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
Botev Vratsa 1
Slavia Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Arda 4
FC Lovech 1
Etar 2
Botev Plovdiv 4
Lok. Sofia 0
Spartak Varna 1
Quarter-finals
Ludogorets 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
Hebar 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
CSKA Sofia 1
Arda 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Spartak Varna 1
Semi-finals
Ludogorets 9
Hebar 0
CSKA Sofia 0
Botev Plovdiv 3
Final
Ludogorets 2
Botev Plovdiv 3
