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Perolas Negras vs America RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

0 - 2
FT
America RJ Logo

America RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Paulo J.
76' Event
Romarinho
90' Event
Nathan Palafoz
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

America RJ in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored America RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Perolas Negras
30%
Draws
29%
America RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Perolas Negras haven't matched America RJ's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Perolas Negras's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras America RJ
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs America RJ
0:2
May 20, 2025 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs America RJ
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

America RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nathan Palafoz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 46 / 100
America RJ 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras America RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

America RJ has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Perolas Negras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS America RJ
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

America RJ

(Away)
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)