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Perolas Negras vs Artsul Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gutinho
33' Event
Gabriel
88' Event
Souza F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Artsul advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Perolas Negras
30%
Draws
37%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Perolas Negras's 1.16 goals per match outpaces what Artsul have produced (1.1).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Artsul, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Artsul have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 18%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Artsul
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Perolas Negras
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 36 / 100
Artsul 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artsul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Perolas Negras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Artsul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Artsul
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 7

Artsul

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Artsul 2
Perolas Negras 3
Paduano EC 1
Sao Goncalo 2
Final
Perolas Negras 2
Sao Goncalo 3