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Perolas Negras vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gutinho
33' Event
Gabriel
88' Event
Souza F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Artsul advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Perolas Negras
30%
Draws
29%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Perolas Negras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Perolas Negras are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Perolas Negras have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Artsul, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Artsul have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Artsul
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Perolas Negras
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 46 / 100
Artsul 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Artsul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Perolas Negras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Artsul
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 7

Artsul

(Away)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Artsul 2
Perolas Negras 3
Paduano EC 1
Sao Goncalo 2
Final
Perolas Negras 2
Sao Goncalo 3