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Perolas Negras vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

0 - 1
FT
Artsul Logo

Artsul

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Sampaio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Artsul in this Carioca B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Artsul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Perolas Negras
30%
Draws
37%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Artsul haven't matched Perolas Negras's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Artsul have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 19%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Artsul
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.15 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Perolas Negras
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Sampaio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 36 / 100
Artsul 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artsul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Perolas Negras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Artsul let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Artsul
1.13 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 7

Artsul

(Away)
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)