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Perolas Negras vs Santa Cruz RJ

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Daniel Freitas
(Penalty)
31' Event
Sagaz A.
36' Event
Sagaz A.

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras in this Copa Rio tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Perolas Negras
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Cruz RJ
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RJ have won more games recently than Perolas Negras.
  • Win probability leans Perolas Negras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Santa Cruz RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Perolas Negras, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Santa Cruz RJ
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Perolas Negras vs Santa Cruz RJ
5:1
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Santa Cruz RJ vs Perolas Negras
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagaz A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Madureira M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Santa Cruz RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 95 / 100
Santa Cruz RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Santa Cruz RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Perolas Negras scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RJ conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Perolas Negras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Santa Cruz RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
20 Jun
Perolas Negras
0 : 1
Americano
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz RJ

(Away)
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RJ
0 : 5
Perolas Negras
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
16 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Bonsucesso2
Madureira2
Americano1
Portuguesa RJ1
CEAC/Araruama0
Boavista1
Perolas Negras0
Marica0
America RJ0
Nova Iguacu1
Olaria2
Bangu0
Sao Goncalo2
Volta Redonda1
Resende0
Sampaio Correa FE1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-