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Persebaya vs Java United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
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Match Events

14' Event
Freitas Gali
Assist: Bruno
31'
Nilson Junior
37' Event
Freitas Gali

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Persebaya and Java United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persebaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Persebaya
15%
Draws
27%
Java United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persebaya come out ahead of Java United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Persebaya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%
Java United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persebaya Java United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.97 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Java United vs Persebaya
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs Java United
2:1
Jan 17, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Java United
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
Java United vs Persebaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas Gali
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Java United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 59 / 100
Java United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persebaya Java United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Persebaya scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Persebaya stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Java United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS Java United
3.13 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSMS Medan
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Java United

(Away)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Java United
02 May
Java United
5 : 2
Persis Solo
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7
Java United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
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