Sport Picks
Persebaya vs Madura United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya 
AI Match Summary
Persebaya host Madura United in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Persebaya at 1.79 goals for, 0.88 against; Madura United at 1.41 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Persebaya slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back Persebaya to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Persebaya have won more games recently than Madura United.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persebaya | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Persebaya scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.
Madura United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Persebaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Persebaya
(Home)Madura United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Bhayangkara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Persebaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Java United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | 2 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:14 | 0 |
