Sport Picks
Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesia
Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya 
Match Events
27'
27'
Hassan M.
29'
29'
Catur A.
45'
45'
Luquinhas
AI Match Summary
Persebaya in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persebaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persebaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Persebaya have won more games recently than PSBS Biak Numfor.
- Win probability leans Persebaya's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persebaya | PSBS Biak Numfor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 3.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.69 | 0.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4:0
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya
0:1
Oct 8, 2017 Championship
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persebaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Raickovic M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rivera F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.84
Avg xA / game 1.84
PSBS Biak Numfor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persebaya 95 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persebaya PSBS Biak Numfor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persebaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persebaya scored in 91% of their last 33 games.
PSBS Biak Numfor let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Persebaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: PSBS Biak Numfor has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Persebaya VS PSBS Biak Numfor
2.38 Goals Scored 0.29
0.38 Goals Conceded 5
50% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 86%
Recent Form & Match History
Persebaya
(Home) 19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2 Persebaya
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Penang
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
PSBS Biak Numfor
(Away) 27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5 Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5 Arema FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
02 May
Persebaya
4 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
24 Apr
Persijap Jepara
2 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Java United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
