Sport Picks
Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya 
Match Events
27'
27'
Hassan M.
29'
29'
Catur A.
45'
45'
Luquinhas
AI Match Summary
Persebaya in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persebaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Persebaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Persebaya have won more games recently than PSBS Biak Numfor.
- Win probability leans Persebaya's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persebaya | PSBS Biak Numfor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 0.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 4.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 0.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 4.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4:0
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya
0:1
Oct 8, 2017 Championship
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persebaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Raickovic M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rivera F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
PSBS Biak Numfor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.16
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persebaya 95 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persebaya PSBS Biak Numfor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persebaya scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
PSBS Biak Numfor let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Persebaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: PSBS Biak Numfor has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Persebaya VS PSBS Biak Numfor
2.88 Goals Scored 0.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 4.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Persebaya
(Home) 04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 Persija Jakarta
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 Persija Jakarta
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 4
PSBS Biak Numfor
(Away) 23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5 Arema FC
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5 Dewa United
02 May
Persebaya
4 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7 Malut United
Page 1 of 6
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
02 May
Persebaya
4 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
24 Apr
Persijap Jepara
2 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
11 Apr
Borneo
5 : 1 PSBS Biak Numfor
06 Apr
Bali United
6 : 1 PSBS Biak Numfor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
