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Persekat Tegal vs Persikas Subang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ariyanto R.
34'
Saputro W.
44'
Mahmudi I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Persekat Tegal and Persikas Subang finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persekat Tegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Persekat Tegal
15%
Draws
64%
Persikas Subang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persikas Subang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persekat Tegal come out ahead of Persikas Subang on wins alone.
  • Model gives Persikas Subang a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 20%
Persikas Subang Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persekat Tegal Persikas Subang
Matches Played 34 24
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 2
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.06 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Persikas Subang
4:0
Oct 7, 2024 Championship
Persikas Subang vs Persekat Tegal
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persekat Tegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariyanto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Ryan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Persikas Subang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persekat Tegal 20 / 100
Persikas Subang 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persekat Tegal Persikas Subang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persikas Subang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Persekat Tegal's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Persikas Subang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 24 matches.

Solid form: Persekat Tegal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Persekat Tegal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persekat Tegal

(Home)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 7

Persikas Subang

(Away)
25 Feb
Persikas Subang
0 : 1
Persipal BU
21 Feb
Persipa Pati
0 : 1
Persikas Subang
17 Feb
Persikas Subang
1 : 0
Persipura Jayapura
09 Feb
RANS Nusantara
1 : 3
Persikas Subang
01 Feb
Persipal BU
0 : 1
Persikas Subang
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)