Sport Picks
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan 
Match Events
30'
30'
Sabda L.
32'
32'
Pratama Y. W.
38'
38'
Arrahim B.
AI Match Summary
Persela Lamongan in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persela Lamongan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
15%
14%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persela Lamongan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Persela Lamongan lately — more wins on the board than Balikpapan.
- Persela Lamongan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Persela Lamongan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 68%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persela Lamongan
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persela Lamongan
0:3
Nov 5, 2017 Super League
Persela Lamongan vs Balikpapan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persela Lamongan Compare
Top Goalscorer Hambali M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persela Lamongan 95 / 100
Balikpapan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persela Lamongan Balikpapan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persela Lamongan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikpapan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Persela Lamongan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Persela Lamongan scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Persela Lamongan VS Balikpapan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Persela Lamongan
(Home) 04 Oct
PS Barito Putera
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0 Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
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27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0 Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1 PS Barito Putera
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1 Persipal BU
Page 1 of 3
Balikpapan
(Away) 04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0 Balikpapan
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0 Balikpapan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3 Balikpapan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
