Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persela Lamongan vs Gresik

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
N'Douassel E.
Assist: Bawuo R.
24'
Hajar I.
44'
Al Achya A.

AI Match Summary

Persela Lamongan in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persela Lamongan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Persela Lamongan
35%
Draws
24%
Gresik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persela Lamongan lately — more wins on the board than Gresik.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 24%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persela Lamongan Gresik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persela Lamongan
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Gresik
3:1
Dec 6, 2023 Championship
Gresik vs Persela Lamongan
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Gresik
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Championship
Gresik vs Persela Lamongan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persela Lamongan Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Douassel E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Gresik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persela Lamongan 37 / 100
Gresik 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persela Lamongan Gresik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Persela Lamongan scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Gresik has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Persela Lamongan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persela Lamongan VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persela Lamongan

(Home)
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
Page 1 of 7

Gresik

(Away)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)