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Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Khodabandelou M.
Assist: Alipour A.
20' Event
Alipour A.
Assist: Majid E.
28'
Sub
Jalali A. In: Homaeifard A.
Out: Jalali A.

AI Match Summary

Persepolis in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Persepolis
30%
Draws
23%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Persepolis have won more games recently than Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • Win probability leans Persepolis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persepolis Esteghlal Khuzestan
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.42 0.58
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
4:1
Mar 15, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Khodabandelou M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alipour A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persepolis 95 / 100
Esteghlal Khuzestan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persepolis Esteghlal Khuzestan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persepolis found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Esteghlal Khuzestan conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Persepolis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persepolis VS Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persepolis

(Home)
09 Oct
Persepolis
3 : 1
Sanat Naft
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
Page 1 of 6

Esteghlal Khuzestan

(Away)
08 Oct
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)