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Persepolis vs Foolad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Shahrabadi P.
22'
Sub
Khodabandelou M. In: Latififar P.
Out: Khodabandelou M.
46'
Sub
Shahrabadi P. In: Jalali A.
Out: Shahrabadi P.

AI Match Summary

Foolad in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foolad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Persepolis
20%
Draws
45%
Foolad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foolad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Persepolis have won more games recently than Foolad.
  • Model gives Persepolis a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%
Foolad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persepolis Foolad
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.41 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Foolad
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Persepolis
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Foolad
1:1
Jan 31, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Persepolis
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Foolad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persepolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Foolad Compare

Top Goalscorer Amiri V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persepolis 50 / 100
Foolad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persepolis Foolad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persepolis scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Persepolis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Foolad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Persepolis VS Foolad
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persepolis

(Home)
25 Oct
Persepolis
0 : 1
Foolad
19 Oct
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 3
Persepolis
14 Oct
Kheybar Khorramabad
0 : 0
Persepolis
09 Oct
Persepolis
3 : 1
Sanat Naft
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

Foolad

(Away)
25 Oct
Persepolis
0 : 1
Foolad
18 Oct
Foolad
0 : 0
Mazandaran
13 Oct
Malavan
1 : 2
Foolad
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persepolis 10 6 2 2 18:5 20
2 Sepahan 10 6 2 2 17:6 20
3 Tractor 9 6 2 1 12:2 20
4 Esteghlal TEH 10 5 5 0 12:3 20
5 Foolad 10 5 4 1 10:5 19
6 Aluminium Arak 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
7 Kheybar Khorramabad 10 3 5 2 13:11 14
8 Fajr Sepasi 10 3 5 2 10:12 14
9 Gol Gohar 10 4 1 5 10:9 13
10 Chadormalu 10 3 4 3 9:13 13
11 Mazandaran 10 2 5 3 7:9 11
12 Paykan 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
13 Malavan 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
14 Esteghlal Khuzestan 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
15 Zob Ahan 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 10 1 4 5 7:12 7
17 Sanat Naft 10 1 4 5 5:15 7
18 Mes Shahr Babak 10 0 5 5 6:19 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)