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Pershiy Region vs Ostrovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Karasev A.
90'
Osinski M.
90'
Osinski M.

AI Match Summary

Pershiy Region in this Division 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pershiy Region.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pershiy Region
20%
Draws
80%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ostrovets have won more games recently than Pershiy Region.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ostrovets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pershiy Region Clean Sheet 23%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pershiy Region Ostrovets
Matches Played 23 44
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 11
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.74 1.91
Goals Conceded 4.3 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Ostrovets vs Pershiy Region
3:0
Jun 13, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Pershiy Region vs Ostrovets
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pershiy Region Compare

Top Goalscorer Karasev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ostrovets Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pershiy Region 10 / 100
Ostrovets 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pershiy Region Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ostrovets conceded in 68% of 44 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pershiy Region scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Difficult form: Ostrovets registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostrovets
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pershiy Region

(Home)
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
17 Oct
Pershiy Region
0 : 3
Polotsk
10 Oct
Ivatsevichi
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
07 Oct
Ostrovets
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
03 Oct
Molodechno
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
Page 1 of 5

Ostrovets

(Away)
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Uni X Labs
1 : 1
Ostrovets
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Molodechno 20 15 3 2 59:18 48
2 FK Baranovici 20 14 2 4 74:24 44
3 Stanles Pinsk 20 13 4 3 61:24 43
4 Brest Malorita 20 13 2 5 71:29 41
5 Ostrovets 20 11 2 7 48:25 35
6 Meliorator Zhitkovichi 20 11 2 7 43:29 35
7 Ivatsevichi 20 8 2 10 42:52 26
8 BGU Minsk 20 4 3 13 35:45 15
9 Pershiy Region 20 4 2 14 17:78 14
10 Kronon Stolbtsy 20 2 6 12 22:65 12
11 Chayka Zelva 20 0 2 18 12:95 2
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)