Sport Picks
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gawalise Stadium, Palu 
Match Events
24'
24'
Sub
Abdillah I. In: Nagashima K.
Out: Abdillah I.
26'
26'
Pasamba F.
46'
46'
Sub
Mukti G. In: Pae V.
Out: Mukti G.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persipal BU and Balikpapan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balikpapan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Balikpapan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Balikpapan's way, sitting at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persipal BU | Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 3.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2026 Championship
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
1:1
Nov 17, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipal BU
3:2
Dec 10, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipal BU
2:0
Oct 19, 2023 Championship
Persipal BU vs Balikpapan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persipal BU Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullah F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Balikpapan Compare
Top Goalscorer Nishihara T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.2
Avg xA / game 1.96
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persipal BU 10 / 100
Balikpapan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persipal BU Balikpapan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Balikpapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikpapan has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Balikpapan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Persipal BU scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Persipal BU VS Balikpapan
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
6.17 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persipal BU
(Home) 03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3 Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1 Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4 Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0 Persipal BU
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4 Deltras Sidoarjo
27 Feb
Persipal BU
1 : 4 Persiku Kudus
23 Feb
Persipal BU
1 : 1 Balikpapan
31 Jan
Persipal BU
1 : 3 Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 3
Balikpapan
(Away) 04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0 Balikpapan
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0 Balikpapan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
