Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persipal BU vs Gresik

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Gawalise Stadium, Palu
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Saputra R.
17'
Muzakkar K.
21'
Adri M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Persipal BU and Gresik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persipal BU.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Persipal BU
30%
Draws
70%
Gresik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Gresik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gresik a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 13%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipal BU Gresik
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persipal BU
3:2
Sep 25, 2024 Championship
Persipal BU vs Gresik
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Championship
Persipal BU vs Gresik
1:1
Jan 12, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persipal BU
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persipal BU Compare

Top Goalscorer Saputra R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Gresik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipal BU 10 / 100
Gresik 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipal BU Gresik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipal BU's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gresik conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gresik registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persipal BU VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persipal BU

(Home)
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4
Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0
Persipal BU
Page 1 of 8

Gresik

(Away)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)