Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persipura Jayapura host Balikpapan in the Championship. This has Persipura Jayapura written all over it on paper. Persipura Jayapura have averaged 1.76 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Balikpapan's 0.72 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Persipura Jayapura have won 3 to Balikpapan's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Persipura Jayapura. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Persipura Jayapura
20%
Draws
0%
Balikpapan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persipura Jayapura come out ahead of Balikpapan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Persipura Jayapura a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 20%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipura Jayapura Balikpapan
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 18 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.76 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
0:1
Jan 12, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
3:1
Sep 22, 2023 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 76 / 100
Balikpapan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipura Jayapura Balikpapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikpapan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Balikpapan's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Persipura Jayapura scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS Balikpapan
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persipura Jayapura

(Home)
09 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 3
RANS Nusantara
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1
Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 7

Balikpapan

(Away)
10 Oct
PS Barito Putera
2 : 0
Balikpapan
04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0
Balikpapan
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2
Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 PSMS Medan 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
3 PSIS Semarang 5 3 1 1 8:5 9
4 Persikad Depok 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
5 Semen Padang 4 2 1 1 4:2 6
6 PSGC Ciamis 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
7 Sumsel United 5 2 1 2 10:8 6
8 Bekasi City 5 1 1 3 6:5 4
9 Persiraja Aceh 5 1 0 4 6:8 2
10 Persiku Kudus 5 0 1 4 3:17 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Persela Lamongan 5 4 1 0 11:1 12
3 Tornado Pekanbaru 5 3 2 0 11:2 10
4 RANS Nusantara 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
5 PS Barito Putera 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Persis Solo 5 1 2 2 8:5 5
7 Dejan 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
8 Persipura Jayapura 5 1 2 2 7:8 4
9 Balikpapan 5 0 0 5 2:9 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 5 0 0 5 1:29 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)