Sport Picks
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh 
Match Events
34'
34'
Mera J.
45'
45'
Saputra D.
Assist: Cahya A.
46'
46'
Sub
Tiwu J. In: Laly D.
Out: Tiwu J.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persiraja Aceh and PSMS Medan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persiraja Aceh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Persiraja Aceh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Persiraja Aceh's way, sitting at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 68%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persiraja Aceh | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persiraja Aceh Compare
Top Goalscorer Mera J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Saputra D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cahya A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persiraja Aceh 68 / 100
PSMS Medan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persiraja Aceh PSMS Medan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persiraja Aceh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: PSMS Medan conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Persiraja Aceh scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Persiraja Aceh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Persiraja Aceh VS PSMS Medan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persiraja Aceh
(Home) 19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 1 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 3
PSMS Medan
(Away) 13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
11 Apr
Garudayaksa
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
