Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persiraja Aceh vs PSPS Riau

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Achmad R.
27' Event
Flynn-Gillespie C.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Selang R. In: Maulana D.
Out: Selang R.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persiraja Aceh and PSPS Riau finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persiraja Aceh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Persiraja Aceh
30%
Draws
47%
PSPS Riau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSPS Riau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Persiraja Aceh have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — PSPS Riau are scoring more at 1.83.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 10%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persiraja Aceh PSPS Riau
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persiraja Aceh
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSPS Riau
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSPS Riau
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persiraja Aceh
1:0
Feb 11, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persiraja Aceh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persiraja Aceh Compare

Top Goalscorer Flynn-Gillespie C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popalzay O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

PSPS Riau Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasir M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persiraja Aceh 30 / 100
PSPS Riau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persiraja Aceh PSPS Riau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persiraja Aceh's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

PSPS Riau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Persiraja Aceh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Persiraja Aceh VS PSPS Riau
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Persiraja Aceh

(Home)
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2
Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6

PSPS Riau

(Away)
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2
PSPS Riau
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)