Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persiraja Aceh vs Sriwijaya

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ardiansyah F.
36' Event
Ridwan F.
Assist: Flynn-Gillespie C.
42'
Matheus Machado

AI Match Summary

Persiraja Aceh in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persiraja Aceh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Persiraja Aceh
20%
Draws
0%
Sriwijaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persiraja Aceh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Persiraja Aceh have won more games recently than Sriwijaya.
  • Persiraja Aceh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Persiraja Aceh here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 68%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persiraja Aceh Sriwijaya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 10 2
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 1.45 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.17 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sriwijaya
2:1
Nov 24, 2025 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sriwijaya
5:0
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Persiraja Aceh
2:3
Dec 1, 2024 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Persiraja Aceh
2:4
Sep 24, 2024 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sriwijaya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persiraja Aceh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ridwan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Revan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sriwijaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persiraja Aceh 95 / 100
Sriwijaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persiraja Aceh Sriwijaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persiraja Aceh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sriwijaya conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sriwijaya lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Persiraja Aceh scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persiraja Aceh VS Sriwijaya
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persiraja Aceh

(Home)
26 Sept
Persikad Depok
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
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Sriwijaya

(Away)
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0
Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3
Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)