Sport Picks
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh 
Match Events
11'
11'
Dall'Oca
29'
29'
Sub
Apridianto D. In: Tyson Z.
Out: Apridianto D.
32'
32'
Ridwan F.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persiraja Aceh and Sumsel United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persiraja Aceh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sumsel United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sumsel United come out ahead of Persiraja Aceh on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Persiraja Aceh here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 16%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persiraja Aceh | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
2:0
Nov 18, 2025 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
3:1
Sep 22, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persiraja Aceh
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persiraja Aceh Compare
Top Goalscorer Flynn-Gillespie C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ridwan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persiraja Aceh 31 / 100
Sumsel United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persiraja Aceh Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Persiraja Aceh scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Sumsel United conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Persiraja Aceh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Persiraja Aceh VS Sumsel United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Persiraja Aceh
(Home) 13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
12 Apr
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 3 Persiraja Aceh
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 1 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 4
Sumsel United
(Away) 13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Isenmulang Kalteng
3 : 2 Sumsel United
14 Feb
PSMS Medan
3 : 1 Sumsel United
24 Jan
Sriwijaya
0 : 5 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
