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Persita vs Bali United Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang
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Match Events

8'
Bessa E.
26'
Ferrari J.
55'
Sub
Andrejic A. In: Nur Hardianto A.
Out: Andrejic A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Persita and Bali United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bali United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Persita
30%
Draws
35%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bali United come out ahead of Persita on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Persita Clean Sheet 12%
Bali United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persita Bali United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Persita vs Bali United
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Persita
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Persita
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Bali United
0:1
Apr 30, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Bali United
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persita 30 / 100
Bali United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persita Bali United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bali United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Persita has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Bali United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persita VS Bali United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persita

(Home)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
Persita
3 : 2
Java United
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1
Persita
23 May
Persita
1 : 3
Persis Solo
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
Page 1 of 6

Bali United

(Away)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)