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Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre
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Match Events

82' Event
Sollitt L.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Perth Glory U23 and Bayswater finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth Glory U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Perth Glory U23
6%
Draws
90%
Bayswater
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Perth Glory U23 haven't matched Bayswater's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bayswater's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Bayswater
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23
3:0
May 17, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:6
Apr 20, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sollitt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bayswater Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 10 / 100
Bayswater 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Bayswater

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Bayswater has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Perth Glory U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Bayswater
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar18114329:2337
2Olympic Kingsway18113440:2536
3Bayswater17104342:2334
4Fremantle City1987438:2731
5Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
6Stirling Macedonia1872932:2923
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1855828:3420
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale18441033:4716
11Perth Glory U2318351030:3814
12Balcatta18421226:4914