Sport Picks

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Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Sollitt L.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Perth Glory U23 and Bayswater finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth Glory U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Perth Glory U23
20%
Draws
52%
Bayswater
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth Glory U23 haven't matched Bayswater's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bayswater's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Bayswater
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23
2:0
May 16, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth Glory U23
3:0
May 17, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Bayswater
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sollitt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bayswater Compare

Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 10 / 100
Bayswater 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Bayswater

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayswater Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bayswater conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Perth Glory U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Bayswater
2.25 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory U23

(Home)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
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Bayswater

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Bayswater
5 : 3
Olympic Kingsway
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
14 Aug
Bayswater
6 : 2
Stirling Macedonia
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)