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Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 HBF Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Goodwin C.
Assist: Dukuly Y.
29'
Alagich E.
37'
Lawrence T.

AI Match Summary

The A-League 2025/2026 game between Perth Glory and Adelaide Utd finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Perth Glory
20%
Draws
34%
Adelaide Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Utd come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 16%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Adelaide Utd
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
4:0
Dec 20, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
4:1
Nov 29, 2024 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Adelaide Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodwin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 30 / 100
Adelaide Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Adelaide Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Perth Glory found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Perth Glory went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Adelaide Utd
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7

Adelaide Utd

(Away)
11 Aug
Adelaide Utd
0 : 2
Cong An Ha Noi
30 Jul
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)