Sport Picks
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 HBF Park, Perth 
Match Events
8'
8'
Popovic G.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Sub
Maieroni N. In: O'Shea J.
Out: Maieroni N.
21'
21'
Kucharski J.
AI Match Summary
Perth Glory in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perth Glory.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perth Glory
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brisbane Roar lately — more wins on the board than Perth Glory.
- Perth Glory are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 13%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perth Glory | Brisbane Roar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perth Glory Compare
Top Goalscorer Despotovski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Brisbane Roar Compare
Top Goalscorer Valkanis D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perth Glory 48 / 100
Brisbane Roar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perth Glory Brisbane Roar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perth Glory scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Brisbane Roar let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Perth Glory stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Perth Glory VS Brisbane Roar
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Perth Glory
(Home) 21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
22 Mar
Perth Glory
1 : 1 Melbourne City
13 Feb
Perth Glory
1 : 3 Newcastle Jets
31 Jan
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Auckland FC
Page 1 of 3
Brisbane Roar
(Away) 04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4 Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4 Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4 Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
