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Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 HBF Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Brattan L.
27'
Wootton S.
48' Event
Pennington N.
Assist: Despotovski S.

AI Match Summary

The A-League 2025/2026 game between Perth Glory and Macarthur FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth Glory.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Perth Glory
15%
Draws
32%
Macarthur FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macarthur FC come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
  • Model gives Perth Glory a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 16%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Macarthur FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC
3:1
Feb 6, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
0:2
Dec 27, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennington N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popovic G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vickery L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 48 / 100
Macarthur FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Macarthur FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur FC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Perth Glory's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Perth Glory stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Macarthur FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Macarthur FC

(Away)
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0
Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)