Sport Picks
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 HBF Park, Perth 
Match Events
21'
21'
Arzani D.
Assist: Caputo M.
66'
66'
Sub
Rashani E. In: Durakovic E.
Out: Rashani E.
67'
67'
Sub
Colakovski S. In: Tevere L.
Out: Colakovski S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Glory
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Melbourne City lately — more wins on the board than Perth Glory.
- Win probability leans Perth Glory's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 16%
Melbourne City Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perth Glory | Melbourne City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 A-League
Melbourne City vs Perth Glory
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 A-League
Melbourne City vs Perth Glory
4:0
Feb 15, 2025 A-League
Melbourne City vs Perth Glory
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perth Glory Compare
Top Goalscorer Taggart A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Melbourne City Compare
Top Goalscorer Arzani D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perth Glory 66 / 100
Melbourne City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perth Glory Melbourne City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Perth Glory scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Melbourne City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Perth Glory has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Perth Glory VS Melbourne City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Perth Glory
(Home) 27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0 Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0 Adelaide Utd
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
22 Mar
Perth Glory
1 : 1 Melbourne City
13 Feb
Perth Glory
1 : 3 Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 3
Melbourne City
(Away) 25 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 2 Melbourne City
11 Aug
Queensland Lions
2 : 0 Melbourne City
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2 Palermo
26 Jul
Weston Workers Bears
0 : 3 Melbourne City
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1 Melbourne City
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 2 Melbourne City
11 Aug
Queensland Lions
2 : 0 Melbourne City
26 Jul
Weston Workers Bears
0 : 3 Melbourne City
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1 Melbourne City
18 Apr
Brisbane Roar
2 : 3 Melbourne City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
