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Peru U23 vs Colombia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Quevedo K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2019 game between Peru U23 and Colombia U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peru U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Peru U23
15%
Draws
36%
Colombia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peru U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia U23 come out ahead of Peru U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U23 Colombia U23
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.85 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Peru U23
3:1
Dec 9, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Peru U23
1:1
Oct 13, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Colombia U23
1:0
Oct 10, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Colombia U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quevedo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Colombia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U23 31 / 100
Colombia U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U23 Colombia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Colombia U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Peru U23's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Peru U23 VS Colombia U23
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U23

(Home)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
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Colombia U23

(Away)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
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