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Peru U23 vs Ecuador U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cabeza A.
28'
45'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2019 game between Peru U23 and Ecuador U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Peru U23
20%
Draws
51%
Ecuador U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador U23's 1.15 goals per match outpaces what Peru U23 have produced (0.85).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U23 Ecuador U23
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.85 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Ecuador U23
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Pan American Games
Ecuador U23 vs Peru U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ecuador U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabeza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U23 32 / 100
Ecuador U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U23 Ecuador U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Peru U23's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Peru U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peru U23 VS Ecuador U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U23

(Home)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
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Ecuador U23

(Away)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
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