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Stadium Background

Peru vs Chile

South America South America

Copa América AT&T Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Zambrano C.
22'
Pulgar E.
35'
Sub
Advincula L. In: Lopez M.
Out: Advincula L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa América matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Peru
39%
Draws
30%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chile lately — more wins on the board than Peru.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa América fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Peru Clean Sheet 19%
Chile Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Chile
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 World Championship
Peru vs Chile
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Copa América
Peru vs Chile
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 World Championship
Chile vs Peru
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 32 / 100
Chile 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Chile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Peru went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Peru scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Chile
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentina33005:09
2Canada31111:24
3Chile30210:12
4Peru30120:31
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezuela33006:19
2Ecuador31114:34
3Mexico31111:14
4Jamaica30031:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uruguay33009:19
2Panama32016:56
3USA31023:33
4Bolivia30031:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia32106:27
2Brazil31205:25
3Costa Rica31112:44
4Paraguay30033:80