Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru vs Chile

South America South America

Copa América AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Peru Logo

Peru

0 - 0
FT
Chile Logo

Chile

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Zambrano C.
22'
Pulgar E.
35'
Sub
Advincula L. In: Lopez M.
Out: Advincula L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Peru
15%
Draws
48%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chile lately — more wins on the board than Peru.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Chile arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Peru Clean Sheet 19%
Chile Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Chile
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.74 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 World Championship
Peru vs Chile
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Copa América
Peru vs Chile
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 World Championship
Chile vs Peru
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 32 / 100
Chile 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chile conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Peru stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Peru scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Chile
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
Page 1 of 7

Chile

(Away)
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
30 Mar
New Zealand
4 : 1
Chile
27 Mar
Chile
4 : 2
Cape Verde
18 Nov
Chile
2 : 1
Peru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
3 Chile 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Peru 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Mexico 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Jamaica 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Panama 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 USA 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Bolivia 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Brazil 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Costa Rica 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Paraguay 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)