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Peru vs Ecuador

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima
Peru Logo

Peru

0 - 0
FT
Ecuador Logo

Ecuador

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Carrillo A.
29'
Franco A.
40'
Flores E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Peru
20%
Draws
40%
Ecuador
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador have won more games recently than Peru.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Peru Clean Sheet 16%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Ecuador
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 13
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.74 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 World Championship
Peru vs Ecuador
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 World Championship
Ecuador vs Peru
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 World Championship
Peru vs Ecuador
1:1
Jun 23, 2021 Copa América
Ecuador vs Peru
2:2
Jun 8, 2021 World Championship
Ecuador vs Peru
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 31 / 100
Ecuador 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Ecuador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Peru has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Peru's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ecuador let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Ecuador
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
Page 1 of 7

Ecuador

(Away)
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 18 12 2 4 31:10 38
2 Ecuador 18 8 8 2 14:5 29
3 Colombia 18 7 7 4 28:18 28
4 Uruguay 18 7 7 4 22:12 28
5 Brazil 18 8 4 6 24:17 28
6 Paraguay 18 7 7 4 14:10 28
7 Bolivia 18 6 2 10 17:35 20
8 Venezuela 18 4 6 8 18:28 18
9 Peru 18 2 6 10 6:21 12
10 Chile 18 2 5 11 9:27 11
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)