Sport Picks

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Peru vs Nicaragua

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Grimaldo J.
Assist: Polo A.
13' Event
Lapadula G.
Assist: Polo A.
55'
Coronel L.

AI Match Summary

Peru in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Peru
20%
Draws
29%
Nicaragua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nicaragua have won more games recently than Peru.
  • Model gives Peru a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Peru Clean Sheet 68%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Nicaragua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Friendly International
Peru vs Nicaragua
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimaldo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lapadula G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nicaragua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 77 / 100
Nicaragua 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Nicaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nicaragua let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Peru remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nicaragua's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Nicaragua
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
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Nicaragua

(Away)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
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