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Peru vs Spain

World World

Friendly International Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Oyarzabal M.
Assist: Cubarsi P.
32' Event
Pedri
Assist: Torres F.
46'
Sub
Simon U. In: Raya D.
Out: Simon U.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Peru and Spain finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Peru
15%
Draws
58%
Spain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Peru Clean Sheet 13%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Spain
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 24
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 0.77 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Peru vs Spain
1:3
May 31, 2008 Friendly International
Spain vs Peru
2:1
Feb 18, 2004 Friendly International
Spain vs Peru
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru Compare

Top Goalscorer Velez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedri
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 10 / 100
Spain 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Spain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Peru remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Peru scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Spain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Spain
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
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Spain

(Away)
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
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