Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru W vs Chile W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Lopez N.
46'
Sub
Azabache A. In: Ruiz B.
Out: Azabache A.
46'
Sub
Obando M. In: Bilcape R.
Out: Obando M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Peru W
20%
Draws
34%
Chile W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Peru W haven't matched Chile W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Peru W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Chile W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chile W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chile W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%
Chile W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru W Chile W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Peru W vs Chile W
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Copa América Women
Peru W vs Chile W
0:3
Dec 5, 2023 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Peru W
6:0
Dec 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Peru W
1:0
Apr 12, 2018 Copa América Women
Peru W vs Chile W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chile W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabezas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keefe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru W 47 / 100
Chile W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru W Chile W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Chile W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Peru W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Chile W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peru W VS Chile W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Chile W

(Away)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)