Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru W vs Ecuador W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Peru W Logo

Peru W

1 - 3
FT
Ecuador W Logo

Ecuador W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Arias E.
Assist: Bolanos N.
22'
Romero G.
42' Event
Bolanos N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Peru W
30%
Draws
33%
Ecuador W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Peru W haven't matched Ecuador W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Peru W a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Ecuador W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ecuador W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ecuador W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru W Ecuador W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Ecuador W vs Peru W
1:0
Jul 16, 2025 Copa América Women
Peru W vs Ecuador W
1:3
Oct 31, 2023 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Peru W
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Peru W
1:0
Nov 15, 2022 Friendly International Women
Peru W vs Ecuador W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilcape R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ecuador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolanos N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru W 65 / 100
Ecuador W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru W Ecuador W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ecuador W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Peru W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Peru W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Peru W VS Ecuador W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Ecuador W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)