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Perugia U19 vs Salernitana U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Perugia U19 Logo

Perugia U19

3 - 1
FT
Salernitana U19 Logo

Salernitana U19

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Perugini M.
71' Event
Ciani D.
83' Event
Paudice A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Perugia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perugia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Perugia U19
15%
Draws
17%
Salernitana U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Perugia U19 have won more games recently than Salernitana U19.
  • Win probability leans Perugia U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Perugia U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Salernitana U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia U19 Salernitana U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.9 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Perugia U19
0:6
Apr 18, 2026 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Salernitana U19
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Perugia U19
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Salernitana U19
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Perugia U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perugini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Salernitana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paudice A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia U19 95 / 100
Salernitana U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia U19 Salernitana U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Perugia U19 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Perugia U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perugia U19 VS Salernitana U19
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 6

Salernitana U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Latina U19
4 : 1
Salernitana U19
05 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
22 Aug
Udinese U19
3 : 0
Salernitana U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)