Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Negro S.
27'
27'
Minesso M.
43'
43'
Sub
Negro S. In: Angella G.
Out: Negro S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 game between Perugia and Matelica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perugia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Matelica carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Matelica taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Perugia Clean Sheet 20%
Matelica Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perugia | Matelica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Matelica
2:0
Jan 10, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Perugia
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Minesso M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Matelica Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perugia 28 / 100
Matelica 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perugia Matelica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perugia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Matelica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Perugia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Perugia VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Perugia
(Home) 23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0 Ostiamare
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0 Ostiamare
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 4
Matelica
(Away) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
25 Apr
Perugia
2 : 0 Matelica
11 Apr
Carpi
4 : 1 Matelica
27 Mar
Gubbio
3 : 0 Matelica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 67:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:29 | 75 |
| 4 | Modena | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 51:28 | 70 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 54:46 | 60 |
| 6 | Triestina | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 48:40 | 59 |
| 7 | Cesena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51:42 | 57 |
| 8 | Matelica | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 59:62 | 56 |
| 9 | Sambenedettese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Mantova | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 47:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 43:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Gubbio | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:45 | 48 |
| 13 | Fermana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 31:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41:57 | 41 |
| 15 | Carpi | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45:62 | 41 |
| 16 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 17 | Imolese | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Fano | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 32:47 | 33 |
| 19 | Ravenna | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:62 | 30 |
| 20 | Arezzo | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 37:66 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
