Sport Picks
Perugia vs Sassari Torres
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia 
Match Events
37'
37'
Bolsius D.
60'
60'
Sub
Bolsius D. In: Bacchin L.
Out: Bolsius D.
61'
61'
Sub
Tumbarello G. In: Joselito
Out: Tumbarello G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Perugia and Sassari Torres finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sassari Torres
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sassari Torres come out ahead of Perugia on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Sassari Torres taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Perugia Clean Sheet 22%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perugia | Sassari Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Sassari Torres
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Perugia
1:1
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Sassari Torres
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Perugia
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Perugia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolsius D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Sassari Torres Compare
Top Goalscorer Sorrentino D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perugia 10 / 100
Sassari Torres 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perugia Sassari Torres
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sassari Torres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perugia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sassari Torres conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Perugia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Perugia VS Sassari Torres
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Perugia
(Home) 02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
20 Mar
Perugia
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
09 Mar
Perugia
2 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 3
Sassari Torres
(Away) 08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2 Sassari Torres
05 Aug
Ossese
1 : 3 Sassari Torres
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0 Alghero
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Bra
09 May
Bra
0 : 1 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2 Sassari Torres
05 Aug
Ossese
1 : 3 Sassari Torres
09 May
Bra
0 : 1 Sassari Torres
26 Apr
Arezzo
3 : 1 Sassari Torres
11 Apr
Pineto
0 : 0 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
