Sport Picks
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia 
Match Events
17'
17'
Agnissan E.
21'
21'
Berengo N.
45'
45'
Dell'Aquila F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Perugia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Perugia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vis Pesaro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Perugia Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perugia | Vis Pesaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
2:2
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Feb 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Agnissan E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Vis Pesaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Berengo N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dell'Aquila F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perugia 41 / 100
Vis Pesaro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perugia Vis Pesaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perugia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vis Pesaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Perugia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Away concern: Vis Pesaro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Perugia VS Vis Pesaro
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Perugia
(Home) 03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3 Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0 Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0 Reggiana
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0 Ostiamare
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 3
Vis Pesaro
(Away) 27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0 Vis Pesaro
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
