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Pesqueira vs Aguia FC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pesqueira
20%
Draws
38%
Aguia FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pesqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aguia FC at 1.5 per game, Pesqueira at 0.43.
  • Model gives Pesqueira a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pesqueira Clean Sheet 20%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesqueira Aguia FC
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 6 6
Draws 14 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Pesqueira vs Aguia FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesqueira 42 / 100
Aguia FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesqueira Aguia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aguia FC conceded in 90% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pesqueira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Aguia FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pesqueira VS Aguia FC
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE761018:419
2Caruaru742112:714
3Aguia FC733112:812
4Belo Jardim733111:712
5Pesqueira71513:48
6Cha Grande71158:144
71º de Maio71156:164
8Sete de Setembro (PE)70255:152