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Pesqueira vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pesqueira
33%
Draws
27%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pesqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cabense come out ahead of Pesqueira on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pesqueira's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Cabense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cabense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pesqueira Clean Sheet 20%
Cabense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesqueira Cabense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.43 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Pesqueira vs Cabense
1:1
Nov 2, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Pesqueira
0:2
Oct 25, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Pesqueira
0:1
Oct 21, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Pesqueira vs Cabense
0:0
Aug 19, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Pesqueira vs Cabense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesqueira 40 / 100
Cabense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesqueira Cabense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pesqueira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pesqueira found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Pesqueira VS Cabense
0.43 Goals Scored 1.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pesqueira

(Home)
02 Nov
Pesqueira
0 : 0
Sete de Setembro (PE)
27 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 0
Pesqueira
20 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
1º de Maio
13 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
Aguia FC
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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Cabense

(Away)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
CA Porto 2
Cabense 3
Centro Limoeirense 1
Pesqueira 2
Sete de Setembro (PE) 4
Vera Cruz 2
Ibis Sport Club 2
Decisao 3
Semi-finals
Cabense 1
Pesqueira 3
Sete de Setembro (PE) 2
Decisao 5
Final
Pesqueira 2
Decisao 1