Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petapa vs Xelaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Gonzales G.

AI Match Summary

Petapa in this Liga Nacional 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Petapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Petapa
15%
Draws
85%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Petapa haven't matched Xelaju's recent run of results.
  • Xelaju are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Petapa Clean Sheet 19%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petapa Xelaju
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Petapa
3:0
Feb 9, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Xelaju
1:0
Nov 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Xelaju
1:0
Sep 9, 2018 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Petapa
2:1
Apr 21, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Xelaju
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzales G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Xelaju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petapa 10 / 100
Xelaju 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petapa Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Petapa scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Xelaju has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Xelaju
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Petapa

(Home)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6

Xelaju

(Away)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 22 12 5 5 36:20 41
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 4 6 35:25 40
3 Comunicaciones 22 11 6 5 32:14 39
4 Municipal 22 10 6 6 37:22 36
5 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
6 Guastatoya 22 9 8 5 27:16 35
7 Deportivo Chiantla 22 8 6 8 21:25 30
8 Xelaju 22 8 5 9 27:25 29
9 Siquinala 22 7 5 10 23:25 26
10 Iztapa 22 7 4 11 21:28 25
11 Sanarate 22 7 2 13 22:38 23
12 Petapa 22 2 1 19 12:59 7
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)