Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peterborough vs Burton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peterborough host Burton in the League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Peterborough have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Burton's 1.03 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Peterborough slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.38) point toward Peterborough. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Peterborough
15%
Draws
34%
Burton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Peterborough come out ahead of Burton on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Peterborough taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 17%
Burton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Burton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 League One
Peterborough vs Burton
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Burton vs Peterborough
0:1
Jan 1, 2025 League One
Burton vs Peterborough
2:2
Dec 4, 2024 League One
Peterborough vs Burton
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 League One
Burton vs Peterborough
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 84 / 100
Burton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Burton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peterborough scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Burton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Peterborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Burton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
10 Oct
Leicester
1 : 3
Peterborough
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1
Ipswich U21
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

Burton

(Away)
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0
Burton
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1
Burton
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3
Huddersfield
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
8 Oxford Utd 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
12 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
13 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
14 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)