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Peterborough vs Notts County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peterborough host Notts County in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Peterborough have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Notts County's 1.33 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Peterborough slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward Peterborough. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Peterborough
20%
Draws
29%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peterborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Notts County at 1.33 per game, Peterborough at 1.21.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Peterborough taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 19%
Notts County Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Notts County
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 League One
Peterborough vs Notts County
0:0
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Peterborough vs Notts County
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 FA Cup
Peterborough vs Notts County
4:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Peterborough vs Notts County
4:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Peterborough vs Notts County
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 49 / 100
Notts County 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peterborough scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Notts County has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Peterborough remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Notts County
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1
Ipswich U21
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2
Doncaster
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Notts County

(Away)
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0
Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)