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Stadium Background

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
O'Connor T. In: Okagbue D.
Out: O'Connor T.
38' Event
Feeney J.
Own Goal
43'
Williams E.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Peterborough and Sheffield Wed finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sheffield Wed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Peterborough
20%
Draws
44%
Sheffield Wed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheffield Wed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sheffield Wed have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Peterborough are scoring more at 1.22.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 11%
Sheffield Wed Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Sheffield Wed
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Peterborough vs Sheffield Wed
1:2
May 18, 2023 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Peterborough
6:1
May 12, 2023 League One
Peterborough vs Sheffield Wed
4:0
Mar 4, 2023 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Peterborough
1:0
Aug 16, 2022 League One
Peterborough vs Sheffield Wed
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sheffield Wed Compare

Top Goalscorer Valery Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 29 / 100
Sheffield Wed 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Sheffield Wed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Peterborough found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Sheffield Wed conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Peterborough remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Sheffield Wed
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1
Ipswich U21
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2
Doncaster
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Sheffield Wed

(Away)
06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0
Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
05 Sept
Peterborough
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)