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Peterborough W vs Derby W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Women's National League North
Peterborough W Logo

Peterborough W

0 - 3
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Derby W Logo

Derby W

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derby W in this Women's National League North matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Peterborough W
15%
Draws
42%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterborough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derby W lately — more wins on the board than Peterborough W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Peterborough W Clean Sheet 16%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough W Derby W
Matches Played 19 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.58 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Women's National League North
Peterborough W vs Derby W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough W 36 / 100
Derby W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterborough W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Defensive concern: Derby W conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Derby W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough W VS Derby W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough W

(Home)
04 Oct
Middlesbrough W
0 : 1
Peterborough W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
West Brom W
3 : 1
Peterborough W
23 Aug
Peterborough W
3 : 2
Liverpool Feds W
Page 1 of 4

Derby W

(Away)
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 6 5 0 1 12:1 15
2 Huddersfield W 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
3 West Brom W 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Stoke City LFC W 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
5 Liverpool Feds W 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
6 Norwich W 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Loughborough Lightning W 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
8 Boldmere St Michaels W 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
9 Derby W 6 2 0 4 6:11 6
10 Peterborough W 6 2 0 4 7:16 6
11 Hull City W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
12 Middlesbrough W 6 1 0 5 1:6 3
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