Sport Picks

Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Balmoor

Peterhead

0 - 2

Kelty Hearts

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Leitch G.

60'

Sub

Leitch G. In: Pettifer A.

Out: Leitch G.

60'

Sub

Paterson B. In: Arnott A.

Out: Paterson B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Peterhead and Kelty Hearts finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Peterhead

Draws

Kelty Hearts

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Kelty Hearts haven't matched Peterhead's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Peterhead taking it.
Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Peterhead Clean Sheet 20%

Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Peterhead	Kelty Hearts
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	11	8
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One

Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Feb 14, 2026 League One

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Dec 13, 2025 League One

Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Oct 4, 2025 League One

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Jul 23, 2024 League Cup

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pettifer A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 85 / 100

Kelty Hearts 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Peterhead Kelty Hearts

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Peterhead scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Peterhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Kelty Hearts

1.75 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inverness	36	21	11	4	60:24	69
2	Stenhousemuir	36	18	13	5	50:27	67
3	Queen of the South	36	14	12	10	58:47	54
4	Alloa	36	15	8	13	50:38	53
5	Peterhead	36	12	7	17	48:64	43
6	Montrose	36	11	9	16	48:67	42
7	Cove Rangers	36	9	11	16	41:44	38
8	East Fife	36	9	9	18	34:61	36
9	Hamilton	36	16	7	13	54:42	34
10	Kelty Hearts	36	6	11	19	33:62	29