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Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Balmoor, Peterhead
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Leitch G.
60'
Sub
Leitch G. In: Pettifer A.
Out: Leitch G.
60'
Sub
Paterson B. In: Arnott A.
Out: Paterson B.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Peterhead and Kelty Hearts finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Peterhead
15%
Draws
51%
Kelty Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts haven't matched Peterhead's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 12%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterhead Kelty Hearts
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead
1:2
Jul 23, 2024 League Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pettifer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 30 / 100
Kelty Hearts 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterhead Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelty Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Peterhead scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kelty Hearts lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Kelty Hearts
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterhead

(Home)
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
Peterhead
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3
Montrose
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 36 21 11 4 60:24 69
2 Stenhousemuir 36 18 13 5 50:27 67
3 Queen of the South 36 14 12 10 58:47 54
4 Alloa 36 15 8 13 50:38 53
5 Peterhead 36 12 7 17 48:64 43
6 Montrose 36 11 9 16 48:67 42
7 Cove Rangers 36 9 11 16 41:44 38
8 East Fife 36 9 9 18 34:61 36
9 Hamilton 36 16 7 13 54:42 34
10 Kelty Hearts 36 6 11 19 33:62 29
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2025/2026 (Main)